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Six months home

The last six months have seen amazing returns from financial markets.

September Global Macro Monthly & Investment Strategy - Biden his time

The US has seen fewer new virus cases since its summer peak, but the virus is rising sharply in some European countries and across emerging markets more broadly

Monthly Op-Ed - Focus on the swoosh or the push?

The recent dataflow is consistent with our base case: the world’s economy is not experiencing a “V-shape” recovery, but rather is following a “swoosh” trajectory in which after an initial spectacular ...

Investing to pastures green(er)

The first “partial lockdowns” are coming to Europe. This will raise public deficits as the phasing out of emergency fiscal support schemes is delayed. The ECB seems ready to accommodate.

The world’s factory in COVID-19: Can China secure its supply chain kingdom?

The Chinese economy has faced dramatic challenges over the past two years. The US/China trade war and the COVID-19 pandemic have delivered short-term shocks and left lingering long-term questions una ...

Word Up

Risk-free yields and curves are range-bound and will remain so as central banks strengthen their resolve to encourage a rise in inflation.

Why short duration Asian bonds could be a flexible and well-timed play on market uncertainty?

What won’t be in the strategy review

The divergence between a decisive Fed and a more hesitant ECB is an interesting debate but it hides the fact that on both sides of the Atlantic monetary policy through its traditional transmission ch ...

Specific and Limited Bearishness

Politics in the US and the UK are contributing to market moves. Uncertainty over US election outcomes is growing, and the stock market seems to be going through a pattern that has been seen in previo ...