Archivio

16/05/2012 - Systemic risk again takes centre stage

Over the past month, risky assets nosedived on the back of more disappointing high frequency macro-economic data and, even more importantly, the unpleasant reminder of how important...

10/05/2012 - Taking stock of a new political landscape in Europe

The new French President and the cabinet that will emerge from the June general elections (second round on June 17th) will face both short- and long-term challenges.

03/05/2012 - China: inside the mechanics of soft landing

As expected, China reported "weak" GDP growth in the first quarter, of "just" 8.1%yoy.

26/04/2012 - Spain: the austerity gamble

After Greece got temporarily cauterized and the Italian government got "technocratised", Spain is the arena in which the latest chapter of the European crisis is being playing out. 

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19/04/2012 - Higher US Treasury yields: neither fast nor furious

Fixed income fund managers will most likely remember September 22, 2011 as the day 10-year Treasury yields hit a low of 1.72% when the Fed officially announced the beginning of Operation...

12/04/2012 - Turkey: external constraint strikes back

The Turkish economy has grown rapidly in the past couple of years, attracting the attention of international investors and inspiring the envy of other emerging markets. 

05/04/2012 - The desynchronized triad

Judging from the macroeconomic statistics for March, it looks like our optimistic reading of the global cycle was the right one.

29/03/2012 - Japan's fiscal situation: the era of ultra-low yields is drawing to a close

Japan's government is the most indebted in the world

21/03/2012 - Emerging equities: countries or sectors? Ask Socrates

Focusing on country or sector allocation first is a question of fundamental importance for active equity portfolio management. 

14/03/2012 - Inflation in China: most of the decline is behind us

As expected, a sharp slowdown in Chinese inflation was observed in February, from 4.5% to 3.2%.

08/03/2012 - European Odyssey

Whilst Europe pursues efforts aimed at stemming the sovereign crisis, the Chinese and US drivers of global growth confirmed in February that they are in good health.

01/03/2012 - Inflation hedging: the virtue of a diversified portfolio

Preserving the purchasing power of savings should be an objective of all investors.

22/02/2012 - Greece: exploring end games

The last minute deal on Greece, reached in the early hours of Tuesday 21st February 2012, should buy enough time for the euro area to sail toward safer waters and continue to restore the...

16/02/2012 - Czech Republic: the bright spot in Central Europe

The Czech Republic (CZ) is a small, open economy exposed to swings in external demand, as its high degree of openness demonstrates.

09/02/2012 - The triumph of central banks

The world's financial markets are getting off to an optimistic start in 2012

26/01/2012 - Emerging Markets Equities: Overweight amid ample liquidity

At the beginning of 2012, investor sentiment towards emerging markets equities remains at best mixed. 

19/01/2012 - Is Hungary the canary in CEE's coal mine?

In a move designed to widen the rift with the west, the government of the PM Viktor Orban adopted a new constitution on 1 January 2012 according to which "Republic" is omitted from...

12/01/2012 - Quantitative easing: experience and expectations for 2012

In more normal times, most central banks steer their economies by changing a short-term interest rate. 

21/12/2011 - 2011: the year cut in half

Two events stand out in the economic and financial landscape of 2011

16/12/2011 - Special 2012 Outlook

2012 will be a bifurcation year. Our main case scenario: Negotiations of a ‘fiscal compact' for the euro area eventually succeed; the European Central Bank turns to quantitative easing to prevent...

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